Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 1.885154 1.987881 2.094482 2.213617 2.343344 2.480662 2.637443
2026-01-25 1.711859 1.858344 2.017300 2.203625 2.417367 2.656503 2.946571
2026-02-01 1.565024 1.737016 1.930214 2.165447 2.447087 2.777361 3.199944
2026-02-08 1.433861 1.618729 1.832035 2.099699 2.431516 2.836245 3.378543
2026-02-15 1.342495 1.537767 1.768347 2.065455 2.445454 2.926020 3.598669
2026-02-22 1.279141 1.484434 1.731973 2.058804 2.489241 3.052807 3.876348
2026-03-01 1.216577 1.427147 1.685513 2.033745 2.504065 3.138891 4.103284
2026-03-08 1.140247 1.347991 1.606111 1.959278 2.445229 3.116337 4.166712
2026-03-15 1.098587 1.310216 1.576969 1.948340 2.470593 3.211723 4.414443
2026-03-22 1.087858 1.311064 1.597285 2.004227 2.592038 3.455128 4.922512
2026-03-29 1.058751 1.286155 1.581610 2.008562 2.638363 3.588644 5.267188
2026-04-05 1.036205 1.268629 1.574543 2.023837 2.700822 3.751323 5.683160
2026-04-12 1.015755 1.254848 1.574311 2.052523 2.791542 3.977984 6.272360
2026-04-19 0.981298 1.220792 1.544569 2.036577 2.812460 4.093118 6.676460
2026-04-26 0.942466 1.179176 1.502271 1.999359 2.796591 4.143752 6.962594
2026-05-03 0.899384 1.130037 1.447121 1.939510 2.739347 4.115449 7.078466
2026-05-10 0.867898 1.095921 1.412047 1.908402 2.727132 4.166875 7.378893
2026-05-17 0.845825 1.074158 1.393804 1.902148 2.755820 4.296485 7.885234
2026-05-24 0.820639 1.047008 1.366418 1.879746 2.754687 4.368563 8.270243
2026-05-31 0.784796 1.003484 1.313221 1.813514 2.672365 4.273488 8.216303
2026-06-07 0.766313 0.984361 1.295634 1.803747 2.689343 4.378242 8.707277
2026-06-14 0.764529 0.989243 1.314079 1.853402 2.816823 4.724483 9.961215
2026-06-21 0.751107 0.976588 1.305269 1.857241 2.859947 4.897912 10.775601